East Londoner wrote:Here's an interesting one again involving the 1999 European Grand Prix. What if Frentzen's Jordan hadn't conked out after he left the pits? What effect would that have had on the race and the title?
It would've made things interesting - Unless Jordan cocked up his tire choice later in the race(although he was well ahead of Coulthard & Irvine and faster than both, so chances are he'd have had a sizeable advantage to play with when the rain came back), Frentzen probably would've won and just been 1 point behind Hakkinen post race - based on the assumption that the only change to the order is that Frentzen is placed in 1st and everyone else is bumped down one place, so Hakkinen would've been 6th instead of 5th.
So going into Malaysia:
Hakkinen - 61
Irvine - 60
Frentzen - 60
Frentzen didn't have a good weekend at Malaysia, he qualified in 14th more than 2 seconds off the pace and finished 6th. Maybe he'd have had a clearer head and done a bit better going into the weekend as a genuine Championship contender, but I'm genuinely hard pressed to see him matching Ferrari and Hakkinen over the last two races now that Schumacher's return to the grid had re-focused them, the Jordan just plain wasn't quick enough. At best, he finishes 4th in Malaysia ahead of the Stewarts instead of 6th. As was the case IRL, Schumacher hands Irvine the win with Hakkinen 3rd.
So going into Japan:
Irvine - 70
Hakkinen -65
Frentzen - 63
Now this is where it gets interesting. IRL, Hakkinen had 66 points going into and that was enough to win him the WDC if he won the Japanese Grand Prix irrespective of where Irvine finished, since even if Irvine was 2nd, they'd be level on points and Mika would win the WDC on countback because he'd won more races. In the end, Irvine was 3rd behind Hakkinen and Schumacher and lost the WDC by 2 points. But in this scenario Hakkinen only has 65 points, because he was 6th instead of 5th at the European GP. So, late in the race, Hakkinen is winning (as IRL), Schumacher is 2nd and Irvine is well back and off the pace in 3rd. Possibly, Ferrari decide that Schumacher can't overhaul Hakkinen in the remaining laps, so he 'makes a mistake' or has a 'mechanical issue' that costs him at least 90 seconds on track, enough to allow Irvine into 2nd (and possibly Frentzen into 3rd), or maybe retiring him altogether just to make it more convicning. End result:
Irvine - 76
Hakkinen - 75
Frentzen - 67
Irvine wins the 1999 World Driver's Championship, but goes to Jaguar anyway because it was an agreed deal.